Why do people write blogs? Does anyone actually read others blogs? These are questions whose answers I have not been able to cook up!! I don't know of anyone who actually goes and reads someone else's blog without getting a mail or hearing about it from some other source. Is it because blogs usually don't feature in the usual search engine results? Some people are working on technologies that will help people get connected to blogs on similar subjects based on the tags & keywords that are used. Maybe then it will more interesting and rewarding for bloggers.
Here is what I came yup with by crystal-ball gazing (the crystal ball is now pretty cloudy and filled with dust, but what-the-heck...it sure is some fun to look at it once in a while... Sensex/Nifty will make a dash for the all-time high sometime soon (maybe as early as October end) Either breach it or turn back just short of it. A bout of profit booking follows. Indices go down 10%-15% (back to around 18K-18.5K) Main indices remain sideways for the next couple of quarters. Mid caps move up from now as the last few weeks the valuation gap has widened. Sometime after 2-3 quarters, the next up move starts for the main indices. By that time, PE is down to about 22 (which is still high but certainly not hitting the roof). One point to consider is that the 2008 debacle is still fresh in the minds of most people, and as long as it remains, the sentiment of fear will be there. That will prevent the markets from having a runaway rally or a breakneck fall. I sure hope I am right!!!
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